Ammanford 2-1 Briton Ferry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.61
Over 2.5
66%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.41
No
34%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+6.7pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.5pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-5.3pp
34%
Under 2.5
35%
-1.0pp
66%
Over 2.5
65%
+1.0pp
66%
BTTS Yes
67%
-1.1pp
34%
BTTS No
33%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ammanford EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 51%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.79/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.56/2.29
+12% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -41%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ammanford
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Briton Ferry
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
19.09.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 0-1 HT 0-1 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GALLK
10.02.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 1-2 HT 0-0 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GALFAW
04.11.2022 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 2-1 HT 2-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
04.03.2022 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 1-0 HT 0-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ammanford vs Briton Ferry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ammanford squeezed past Briton Ferry 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Briton Ferry at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Briton Ferry led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ammanford and 1.50 for Briton Ferry.

What was the final score of Ammanford vs Briton Ferry?

Ammanford 2-1 Briton Ferry in the Wales - FAW Championship on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ammanford vs Briton Ferry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Briton Ferry win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ammanford 36%, draw 22%, Briton Ferry 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Briton Ferry) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Briton Ferry) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
24 Feb 2024
16:00 Flint Town United vs Bangor 1876 Analysis →
17:00 Abertillery Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town Analysis →
17:00 Denbigh Town vs Guilsfield Analysis →
17:00 Llanidloes Town vs Porthmadog Analysis →
17:00 Caersws vs Gresford Athletic Analysis →
17:00 Mold Alexandra vs Airbus UK Analysis →