Penrhyncoch 1-1 Denbigh Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 25 Aug 2025

📅25/08/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.43
No
32%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-2.6pp
68%
BTTS Yes
66%
+1.9pp
32%
BTTS No
34%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 51%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.52/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.20/1.79
+61% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / -21%
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
290 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penrhyncoch
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Denbigh Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
25.01.2025 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 3-0 HT 0-0 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
26.08.2024 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 4-2 HT 3-0 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penrhyncoch and Denbigh Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Denbigh Town at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (68%) landed while over 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Penrhyncoch and 2.50 for Denbigh Town.

What was the final score of Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh Town?

Penrhyncoch 1-1 Denbigh Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Denbigh Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Penrhyncoch 32%, draw 24%, Denbigh Town 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Denbigh Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Denbigh Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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