Holywell 5-1 Ruthin Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 25 Aug 2025

📅25/08/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.29
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
9%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
2%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
73%
-1.9pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.9pp
9%
Away Win
11%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holywell EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruthin Town EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.48/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/3.81
-7% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -32%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
397 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holywell
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Ruthin Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
21.03.2025 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
02.11.2024 Holywell Holywell 5-1 HT 1-1 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
19.10.2024 Holywell Holywell 1-1 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALWK
06.04.2024 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
19.12.2023 Holywell Holywell 1-0 HT 1-0 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
07.12.2022 Holywell Holywell 2-0 HT 1-0 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Holywell vs Ruthin Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell swept aside Ruthin Town 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Holywell as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holywell had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Holywell and 0.50 for Ruthin Town.

What was the final score of Holywell vs Ruthin Town?

Holywell 5-1 Ruthin Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holywell vs Ruthin Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Holywell 71%, draw 20%, Ruthin Town 9%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holywell), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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