Ruthin Town 1-1 Holywell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.71
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
63%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.63
Over 2.5
69%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.55
No
39%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
18%
+1.1pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.5pp
63%
Away Win
62%
+0.3pp
31%
Under 2.5
34%
-3.7pp
69%
Over 2.5
66%
+3.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.5pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ruthin Town EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Holywell EU Bookmakers 67%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +21%
2.09/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.06/0.60
+56% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +99%
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 480 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ruthin Town
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Holywell
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
19.12.2023 Holywell Holywell 1-0 HT 1-0 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
07.12.2022 Holywell Holywell 2-0 HT 1-0 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
25.11.2022 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 1-4 HT 0-2 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
30.10.2021 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 2-3 HT 1-2 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ruthin Town vs Holywell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ruthin Town and Holywell shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Holywell carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (69%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Holywell led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Ruthin Town and 2.50 for Holywell.

What was the final score of Ruthin Town vs Holywell?

Ruthin Town 1-1 Holywell in the Wales - FAW Championship on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ruthin Town vs Holywell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Ruthin Town 19%, draw 18%, Holywell 63%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Holywell), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holywell) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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