06/04/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Guilsfield vs Bangor 1876 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
43%
26%
Draw
25%
25%
Away Win
32%
53%
Under 2.5
42%
47%
Over 2.5
58%
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
45%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guilsfield v Bangor 1876 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Guilsfield
EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bangor 1876
EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% /
-4%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+60% /
+60%
1.76/1.56
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
3.51/0.99
-9%
/
-7%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+132%
/
+84%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
13
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
297 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
381 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
4.0
Yellow Cards
–
Guilsfield vs Bangor 1876 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Guilsfield
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Bangor 1876
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
16.12.2023
Bangor 1876
2-1
HT 1-1
Guilsfield
GALFAW
2-1
HT 1-1
Guilsfield
GALFAW
POST-MATCH
Guilsfield vs Bangor 1876
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bangor 1876 edged past Guilsfield 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Guilsfield at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Guilsfield vs Bangor 1876?
Guilsfield 1-2 Bangor 1876 in the Wales - FAW Championship on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guilsfield vs Bangor 1876?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guilsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Guilsfield 49%, draw 26%, Bangor 1876 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Guilsfield), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Guilsfield)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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GALFAW
More Wales - FAW Championship
6 Apr 2024