Pontardawe Town FC 1-1 Carmarthen Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
49%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.1pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.3pp
49%
Away Win
55%
-6.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-2.7pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontardawe Town FC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 59%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
2.93/2.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/1.05
+115% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +20%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontardawe Town FC
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Carmarthen Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
26.12.2023 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Pontardawe Town FC Pontardawe Town FC GALFAW
07.01.2023 Pontardawe Town FC Pontardawe Town FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Pontardawe Town FC vs Carmarthen Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontardawe Town FC and Carmarthen Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Carmarthen Town at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pontardawe Town FC had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pontardawe Town FC and 0.50 for Carmarthen Town.

What was the final score of Pontardawe Town FC vs Carmarthen Town?

Pontardawe Town FC 1-1 Carmarthen Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontardawe Town FC vs Carmarthen Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Pontardawe Town FC 26%, draw 25%, Carmarthen Town 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carmarthen Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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