Taffs Well 4-1 Afan Lido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 6 Apr 2024

Taffs Well
4-1 HT 2-0
Afan Lido
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2025/2026

Taffs Well vs Afan Lido Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
39%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.89
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.38
No
39%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.8pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.0pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+8.7pp
32%
Under 2.5
31%
+0.5pp
68%
Over 2.5
69%
-0.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.3pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Taffs Well v Afan Lido — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taffs Well EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 33%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.46/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/2.21
-25% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 4.0

Taffs Well vs Afan Lido Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Taffs Well
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Afan Lido
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
15.12.2023 Afan Lido Afan Lido 2-2 HT 1-0 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
18.04.2023 Taffs Well Taffs Well 2-0 HT 0-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
18.10.2022 Taffs Well Taffs Well 2-1 HT 1-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALLK
11.03.2022 Afan Lido Afan Lido 1-5 HT 0-2 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
POST-MATCH Taffs Well vs Afan Lido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Taffs Well ran out comfortable winners over Afan Lido 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 21% / 38%) promised a tight game; Taffs Well found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Taffs Well had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Taffs Well and 1.00 for Afan Lido.

What was the final score of Taffs Well vs Afan Lido?

Taffs Well 4-1 Afan Lido in the Wales - FAW Championship on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taffs Well vs Afan Lido?

Before kick-off our model rated a Taffs Well win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Taffs Well 40%, draw 21%, Afan Lido 38%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Taffs Well), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Taffs Well) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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