Newtown 2-1 Caersws — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 25 Aug 2025

📅25/08/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.29
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
12%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
73%
-6.6pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.4pp
12%
Away Win
11%
+1.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+4.4pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newtown EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Caersws EU Bookmakers 14%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
3.00/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.59
+13% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
379 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Newtown vs Caersws
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newtown edged past Caersws 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Newtown as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Newtown vs Caersws?

Newtown 2-1 Caersws in the Wales - FAW Championship on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newtown vs Caersws?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newtown win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Newtown 66%, draw 22%, Caersws 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newtown), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newtown) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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