Holywell 5-1 Ruthin Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.42
Draw
15%
4.62
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
2.89
Over 2.5
72%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
40%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
66%
+3.8pp
15%
Draw
19%
-4.0pp
15%
Away Win
15%
+0.2pp
28%
Under 2.5
31%
-2.8pp
72%
Over 2.5
69%
+2.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.0pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holywell EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruthin Town EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.34/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.54
+0% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +48%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
442 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holywell
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Ruthin Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.10.2024 Holywell Holywell 1-1 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALWK
06.04.2024 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
19.12.2023 Holywell Holywell 1-0 HT 1-0 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
07.12.2022 Holywell Holywell 2-0 HT 1-0 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
25.11.2022 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 1-4 HT 0-2 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
30.10.2021 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 2-3 HT 1-2 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
POST-MATCH Holywell vs Ruthin Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell ran out comfortable winners over Ruthin Town 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Holywell as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holywell had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Holywell and 0.83 for Ruthin Town.

What was the final score of Holywell vs Ruthin Town?

Holywell 5-1 Ruthin Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holywell vs Ruthin Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Holywell 70%, draw 15%, Ruthin Town 15%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holywell), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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