Llantwit Major 2-0 Afan Lido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-10.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 22%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.50/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/2.05
-37% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llantwit Major
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Afan Lido
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
23.08.2024 Afan Lido Afan Lido 1-3 HT 0-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
20.01.2024 Llantwit Major 1-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
06.10.2023 Afan Lido Afan Lido 4-1 HT 0-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
25.03.2023 Llantwit Major 2-0 HT 1-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
19.08.2022 Afan Lido Afan Lido 2-2 HT 1-1 Llantwit Major GALFAW
01.04.2022 Afan Lido Afan Lido 0-1 HT 0-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
POST-MATCH Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llantwit Major saw off Afan Lido 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Llantwit Major as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Llantwit Major had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Llantwit Major and 1.17 for Afan Lido.

What was the final score of Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido?

Llantwit Major 2-0 Afan Lido in the Wales - FAW Championship on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llantwit Major win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Llantwit Major 49%, draw 23%, Afan Lido 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llantwit Major) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Llantwit Major) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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