Llantwit Major 1-0 Afan Lido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.39
No
39%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.2pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 42%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.54/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/1.34
-20% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
354 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llantwit Major
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Afan Lido
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2023 Afan Lido Afan Lido 4-1 HT 0-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
25.03.2023 Llantwit Major 2-0 HT 1-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
19.08.2022 Afan Lido Afan Lido 2-2 HT 1-1 Llantwit Major GALFAW
01.04.2022 Afan Lido Afan Lido 0-1 HT 0-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
POST-MATCH Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llantwit Major nicked a narrow win over Afan Lido 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Llantwit Major as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Llantwit Major had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Llantwit Major and 1.50 for Afan Lido.

What was the final score of Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido?

Llantwit Major 1-0 Afan Lido in the Wales - FAW Championship on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llantwit Major win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Llantwit Major 41%, draw 25%, Afan Lido 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llantwit Major) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Llantwit Major) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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