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20/01/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
Over
59%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
45%
4-5
28%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
Baglan Dragons v Caerau (Ely) — Team-Based Signals
SIGNALS
Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME
Baglan Dragons
The Market 57%
Signal
AWAY
Caerau (Ely)
The Market 28%
Average
Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation
Great
1.78
xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction
1.49
0.97
xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction
1.88
–
Attack Strength
Great
–
Defense Strength
Great
52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
5
359 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
292 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Baglan Dragons
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Caerau (Ely)
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
The Meetings
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REVIEW
Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely)
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW
Baglan Dragons saw off Caerau (Ely) 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Baglan Dragons as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.
Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely) Result & Final Score
Baglan Dragons 2 - 0 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - FAW Championship on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Baglan Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Baglan Dragons 53%, draw 22%, Caerau (Ely) 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baglan Dragons) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Baglan Dragons)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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GALFAW
More Wales - FAW Championship
20 Jan 2024