Porthmadog 1-2 Mold Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
39%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.39
No
32%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
25%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
30%
+7.8pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-7.0pp
68%
BTTS Yes
68%
+0.3pp
32%
BTTS No
32%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porthmadog EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 50%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.66/2.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.70
-59% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
249 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porthmadog
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Mold Alexandra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
07.10.2023 Mold Alexandra 5-1 HT 2-1 Porthmadog Porthmadog GALFAW
25.02.2023 Mold Alexandra 2-2 HT 0-2 Porthmadog Porthmadog GALFAW
14.01.2023 Porthmadog Porthmadog 0-1 HT 0-2 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
POST-MATCH Porthmadog vs Mold Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mold Alexandra edged past Porthmadog 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Mold Alexandra found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (68%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mold Alexandra led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Porthmadog and 2.67 for Mold Alexandra.

What was the final score of Porthmadog vs Mold Alexandra?

Porthmadog 1-2 Mold Alexandra in the Wales - FAW Championship on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porthmadog vs Mold Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mold Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Porthmadog 38%, draw 23%, Mold Alexandra 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mold Alexandra), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mold Alexandra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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