Holywell 2-1 Bangor 1876 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 20 Jan 2024

Holywell
2-1
Bangor 1876
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Holywell vs Bangor 1876 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.3pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.4pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+6.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.0pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Holywell v Bangor 1876 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holywell EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangor 1876 EU Bookmakers 18%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
2.54/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.00
+14% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -47%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
425 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Holywell vs Bangor 1876 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holywell
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bangor 1876
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
06.10.2023 Bangor 1876 Bangor 1876 1-4 HT 1-4 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
POST-MATCH Holywell vs Bangor 1876
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell nicked a narrow win over Bangor 1876 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Holywell as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Holywell vs Bangor 1876?

Holywell 2-1 Bangor 1876 in the Wales - FAW Championship on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holywell vs Bangor 1876?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Holywell 54%, draw 24%, Bangor 1876 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holywell), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5
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