Llandudno FC 2-3 Gresford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.05
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
46%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
45%
-10.0pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.2pp
46%
Away Win
31%
+15.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.4pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llandudno FC EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 34%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.91/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.06
-5% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +81%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llandudno FC
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Gresford Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
07.10.2023 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 3-1 HT 2-1 Llandudno FC Llandudno FC GALFAW
28.02.2023 Llandudno FC Llandudno FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
18.04.2022 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 2-0 HT 2-0 Llandudno FC Llandudno FC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Llandudno FC vs Gresford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gresford Athletic edged past Llandudno FC 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gresford Athletic as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gresford Athletic led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Llandudno FC and 1.67 for Gresford Athletic.

What was the final score of Llandudno FC vs Gresford Athletic?

Llandudno FC 2-3 Gresford Athletic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llandudno FC vs Gresford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gresford Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Llandudno FC 35%, draw 20%, Gresford Athletic 46%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gresford Athletic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gresford Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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