Cwmbran Celtic 1-2 Abertillery Bluebirds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 20 Jan 2024

Cwmbran Celtic
1-2 HT 0-2
Abertillery Bluebirds
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Cwmbran Celtic vs Abertillery Bluebirds Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.28
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
29%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
74%
-13.6pp
20%
Draw
15%
+5.5pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-2.2pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cwmbran Celtic v Abertillery Bluebirds — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Abertillery Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 14%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.97/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/5.03
-63% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -51%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
441 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Cwmbran Celtic vs Abertillery Bluebirds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abertillery Bluebirds squeezed past Cwmbran Celtic 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

This one beat our numbers. Cwmbran Celtic carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Cwmbran Celtic vs Abertillery Bluebirds?

Cwmbran Celtic 1-2 Abertillery Bluebirds in the Wales - FAW Championship on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cwmbran Celtic vs Abertillery Bluebirds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cwmbran Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Cwmbran Celtic 60%, draw 20%, Abertillery Bluebirds 19%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cwmbran Celtic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cwmbran Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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