Guilsfield 4-3 Denbigh Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.98
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.32
No
42%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
21%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.3pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+0.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
72%
-13.6pp
42%
BTTS No
28%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.92/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.84
+15% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guilsfield
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Denbigh Town
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
23.03.2024 Guilsfield 4-1 HT 2-0 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
24.02.2024 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 2-2 HT 0-1 Guilsfield GALFAW
POST-MATCH Guilsfield vs Denbigh Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guilsfield edged past Denbigh Town 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 22% / 41%) promised a tight game; Guilsfield found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Guilsfield had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Guilsfield and 1.50 for Denbigh Town.

What was the final score of Guilsfield vs Denbigh Town?

Guilsfield 4-3 Denbigh Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guilsfield vs Denbigh Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Denbigh Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Guilsfield 38%, draw 22%, Denbigh Town 41%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Denbigh Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Denbigh Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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