Guilsfield 4-1 Denbigh Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.41
No
45%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
67%
-11.4pp
45%
BTTS No
33%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.62/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.79
-13% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guilsfield
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Denbigh Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
24.02.2024 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 2-2 HT 0-1 Guilsfield GALFAW
POST-MATCH Guilsfield vs Denbigh Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guilsfield swept aside Denbigh Town 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Guilsfield as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Guilsfield vs Denbigh Town?

Guilsfield 4-1 Denbigh Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guilsfield vs Denbigh Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guilsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Guilsfield 41%, draw 25%, Denbigh Town 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guilsfield), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guilsfield) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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