Abertillery Bluebirds 2-5 Trefelin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.29
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
3.59
Over 2.5
49%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-3.2pp
34%
Draw
28%
+6.3pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
24%
+26.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
76%
-26.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abertillery Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Trefelin EU Bookmakers 49%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.91/3.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.49
-35% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Abertillery Bluebirds
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Trefelin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
03.11.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 6-1 HT 2-1 Abertillery Bluebirds Abertillery Bluebirds GALFAW
POST-MATCH Abertillery Bluebirds vs Trefelin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trefelin swept aside Abertillery Bluebirds 5-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Trefelin as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Abertillery Bluebirds vs Trefelin?

Abertillery Bluebirds 2-5 Trefelin in the Wales - FAW Championship on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abertillery Bluebirds vs Trefelin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trefelin win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Abertillery Bluebirds 24%, draw 34%, Trefelin 42%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trefelin) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trefelin) ✗ Under 2.5
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