Chirk AAA 2-2 Caersws — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-0.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.4pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chirk AAA EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Caersws EU Bookmakers 53%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-56% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chirk AAA
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Caersws
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
07.10.2023 Caersws Caersws 3-2 HT 2-1 Chirk AAA Chirk AAA GALFAW
POST-MATCH Chirk AAA vs Caersws
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chirk AAA and Caersws shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Caersws at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Chirk AAA vs Caersws?

Chirk AAA 2-2 Caersws in the Wales - FAW Championship on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chirk AAA vs Caersws?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caersws win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Chirk AAA 29%, draw 22%, Caersws 48%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caersws) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caersws) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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