Mold Alexandra 1-0 Gresford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.7pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.7pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 34%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
2.95/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.04
+55% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +79%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mold Alexandra
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Gresford Athletic
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.11.2023 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-5 HT 0-3 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
25.03.2023 Mold Alexandra 1-2 HT 1-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
12.08.2022 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
POST-MATCH Mold Alexandra vs Gresford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mold Alexandra edged past Gresford Athletic 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mold Alexandra as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mold Alexandra had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Mold Alexandra and 1.00 for Gresford Athletic.

What was the final score of Mold Alexandra vs Gresford Athletic?

Mold Alexandra 1-0 Gresford Athletic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mold Alexandra vs Gresford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mold Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mold Alexandra 47%, draw 21%, Gresford Athletic 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mold Alexandra) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mold Alexandra) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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