Mold Alexandra 1-2 Penrhyncoch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 2 Nov 2024

Mold Alexandra
1-2 HT 1-0
Penrhyncoch
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Mold Alexandra vs Penrhyncoch Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.98
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-8.1pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.7pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.4pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mold Alexandra v Penrhyncoch — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 19%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.92/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.21
+25% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
460 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Mold Alexandra vs Penrhyncoch Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mold Alexandra
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Penrhyncoch
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
11.03.2023 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 2-2 HT 1-0 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
POST-MATCH Mold Alexandra vs Penrhyncoch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penrhyncoch squeezed past Mold Alexandra 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Mold Alexandra at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Mold Alexandra vs Penrhyncoch?

Mold Alexandra 1-2 Penrhyncoch in the Wales - FAW Championship on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mold Alexandra vs Penrhyncoch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mold Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Mold Alexandra 58%, draw 19%, Penrhyncoch 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mold Alexandra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mold Alexandra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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