Holywell 1-1 Ruthin Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
68%
-8.5pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.9pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holywell EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruthin Town EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -42%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holywell
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Ruthin Town
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.04.2024 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
19.12.2023 Holywell Holywell 1-0 HT 1-0 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
07.12.2022 Holywell Holywell 2-0 HT 1-0 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town GALFAW
25.11.2022 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 1-4 HT 0-2 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
30.10.2021 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 2-3 HT 1-2 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
POST-MATCH Holywell vs Ruthin Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell and Ruthin Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Holywell carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Holywell had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Holywell and 0.80 for Ruthin Town.

What was the final score of Holywell vs Ruthin Town?

Holywell 1-1 Ruthin Town in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holywell vs Ruthin Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Holywell 60%, draw 19%, Ruthin Town 21%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Holywell) ✗ Over 2.5
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