Barry Town 3-3 Caerau (Ely) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 19 Oct 2024

Barry Town
3-3
Caerau (Ely)
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Wales - Welsh Cup – 2025/2026

Barry Town vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.11
Draw
18%
8.11
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
85%
-21.2pp
18%
Draw
9%
+9.3pp
18%
Away Win
6%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barry Town v Caerau (Ely) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barry Town EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Caerau (Ely) EU Bookmakers 9%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+5% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
482 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Barry Town vs Caerau (Ely)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barry Town and Caerau (Ely) shared the points in a 3-3 draw. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Barry Town carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Barry Town vs Caerau (Ely)?

Barry Town 3-3 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barry Town vs Caerau (Ely)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barry Town win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Barry Town 64%, draw 18%, Caerau (Ely) 18%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Barry Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barry Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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