Penrhiwceiber Rangers 3-4 Carmarthen Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.09
Draw
32%
4.34
Away
41%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
24%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
16%
+11.1pp
32%
Draw
20%
+12.0pp
41%
Away Win
64%
-23.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penrhiwceiber Rangers EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
220 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 596 · 89%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Carmarthen Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carmarthen Town squeezed past Penrhiwceiber Rangers 4-3 away from home. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Carmarthen Town as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Carmarthen Town?

Penrhiwceiber Rangers 3-4 Carmarthen Town in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Carmarthen Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Penrhiwceiber Rangers 28%, draw 32%, Carmarthen Town 41%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carmarthen Town), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALWK More Wales - Welsh Cup
19 Oct 2024
00:00 Buckley Town vs Colwyn Bay Analysis →
16:00 Connahs Quay vs Guilsfield Analysis →
16:00 Bangor 1876 vs Llay Miners Welfare Analysis →
16:00 Haverfordwest County vs Trethomas Bluebirds Analysis →
16:00 Holywell vs Ruthin Town Analysis →
16:00 Barry Town vs Caerau (Ely) Analysis →