Connahs Quay 5-0 Guilsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.18
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
20%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
80%
-18.8pp
18%
Draw
11%
+7.2pp
20%
Away Win
8%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 11%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
4.78/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.35
+53% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +134%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
445 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Connahs Quay vs Guilsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Connahs Quay cruised past Guilsfield 5-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Guilsfield?

Connahs Quay 5-0 Guilsfield in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Guilsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 61%, draw 18%, Guilsfield 20%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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