Gil Vicente U23 3-2 Farense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
38%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
46%
-10.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+8.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 33%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.90/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.86
+26% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Farense U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.01.2026 Farense U23 Farense U23 3-1 HT 1-1 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente U23
3-2
AWAY Farense U23
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente U23 vs Farense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente U23 squeezed past Farense U23 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Gil Vicente U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gil Vicente U23 had 53% of the ball to Farense U23's 47%, shots finished 17-9.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente U23 vs Farense U23?

Gil Vicente U23 3-2 Farense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente U23 vs Farense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Farense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente U23 35%, draw 27%, Farense U23 38%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Farense U23), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Farense U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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