Farense U23 3-1 Gil Vicente U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 24 Jan 2026

📅24/01/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.68
No
39%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.5pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.5pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
56%
+5.8pp
39%
BTTS No
44%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 33%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
3.29/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/1.74
+104% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense U23
3-1
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 21
8 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Farense U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense U23 got the better of Gil Vicente U23 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 33% / 29% — and on the day Farense U23 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Farense U23 had 42% of the ball to Gil Vicente U23's 58%, shots finished 13-21.

What was the final score of Farense U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Farense U23 3-1 Gil Vicente U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Farense U23 39%, draw 33%, Gil Vicente U23 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farense U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Farense U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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