União de Leiria U23 2-3 Estoril U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 24 Jan 2026

📅24/01/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.5pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME União de Leiria U23 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/2.14
-36% / -68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -36%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME União de Leiria U23
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Estoril U23
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
10.12.2025 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 2-2 HT 1-1 União de Leiria U23 UŞGB
09.12.2025 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 2-2 União de Leiria U23 PORU23
23.09.2025 União de Leiria U23 3-0 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME União de Leiria U23
2-3
AWAY Estoril U23
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH União de Leiria U23 vs Estoril U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estoril U23 edged past União de Leiria U23 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 31% — and on the day Estoril U23 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, União de Leiria U23 had 57% of the ball to Estoril U23's 43%, shots finished 15-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, União de Leiria U23 had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for União de Leiria U23 and 1.33 for Estoril U23.

What was the final score of União de Leiria U23 vs Estoril U23?

União de Leiria U23 2-3 Estoril U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for União de Leiria U23 vs Estoril U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a União de Leiria U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split União de Leiria U23 40%, draw 28%, Estoril U23 31%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (União de Leiria U23), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (União de Leiria U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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