Estoril U23 2-2 União de Leiria U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 10 Dec 2025

📅10/12/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY União de Leiria U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.31/2.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.34
-7% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril U23
0W-1D-1L
AWAY União de Leiria U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
09.12.2025 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 2-2 União de Leiria U23 PORU23
23.09.2025 União de Leiria U23 3-0 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril U23
2-2
AWAY União de Leiria U23
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Estoril U23 vs União de Leiria U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estoril U23 and União de Leiria U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Estoril U23 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Estoril U23 had 49% of the ball to União de Leiria U23's 51%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, União de Leiria U23 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Estoril U23 and 2.50 for União de Leiria U23.

What was the final score of Estoril U23 vs União de Leiria U23?

Estoril U23 2-2 União de Leiria U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 10/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril U23 vs União de Leiria U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Estoril U23 43%, draw 29%, União de Leiria U23 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Estoril U23), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →