Estoril U23 2-2 União de Leiria U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 9 Dec 2025

Estoril U23
2-2
União de Leiria U23
📅09/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - U23 National Championship – 2025/2026

Estoril U23 vs União de Leiria U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+7.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.3pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estoril U23 v União de Leiria U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY União de Leiria U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-33% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards –

Estoril U23 vs União de Leiria U23 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY União de Leiria U23
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.09.2025 União de Leiria U23 3-0 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
POST-MATCH Estoril U23 vs União de Leiria U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estoril U23 and União de Leiria U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Estoril U23 vs União de Leiria U23?

Estoril U23 2-2 União de Leiria U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 09/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril U23 vs União de Leiria U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an União de Leiria U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Estoril U23 35%, draw 27%, União de Leiria U23 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (União de Leiria U23), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (União de Leiria U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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