União de Leiria U23 3-0 Estoril U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.61
No
40%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
12%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+4.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.1pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME União de Leiria U23 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-28% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -38%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME União de Leiria U23
3-0
AWAY Estoril U23
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH União de Leiria U23 vs Estoril U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

União de Leiria U23 swept aside Estoril U23 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Estoril U23 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, União de Leiria U23 had 50% of the ball to Estoril U23's 50%, shots finished 10-6.

What was the final score of União de Leiria U23 vs Estoril U23?

União de Leiria U23 3-0 Estoril U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for União de Leiria U23 vs Estoril U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split União de Leiria U23 33%, draw 25%, Estoril U23 41%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✗ BTTS Yes
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UŞGB More Portugal - U23 National Championship
23 Sep 2025
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