Estrela U23 0-1 Santa Clara U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
41%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.6pp
41%
Away Win
32%
+8.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.4pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 36%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.13/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.49
+49% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
345 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estrela U23
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Santa Clara U23
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
30.10.2024 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 2-3 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 UŞGB
10.09.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 2-0 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estrela U23
0-1
AWAY Santa Clara U23
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Estrela U23 vs Santa Clara U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara U23 squeezed past Estrela U23 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 22% / 41% — and on the day Santa Clara U23 made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estrela U23 had 52% of the ball to Santa Clara U23's 48%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Estrela U23 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Estrela U23 and 1.00 for Santa Clara U23.

What was the final score of Estrela U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Estrela U23 0-1 Santa Clara U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estrela U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Clara U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Estrela U23 38%, draw 22%, Santa Clara U23 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Clara U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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