Santa Clara U23 2-3 Estrela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
19%
3.28
Away
38%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.7pp
19%
Draw
27%
-7.7pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+8.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 33%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+71% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +91%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
293 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Estrela U23
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
10.09.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 2-0 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 UŞGB
POST-MATCH Santa Clara U23 vs Estrela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estrela U23 edged past Santa Clara U23 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 43% / 19% / 38% — and on the day Estrela U23 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Santa Clara U23 vs Estrela U23?

Santa Clara U23 2-3 Estrela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara U23 vs Estrela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara U23 43%, draw 19%, Estrela U23 38%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Santa Clara U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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UŞGB More Portugal - U23 National Championship
30 Oct 2024
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