Farense U23 2-2 Portimonense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
35%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
11%
X/X
24%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
49%
-13.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+9.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farense U23
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Portimonense U23
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
14.08.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 0-1 HT 0-1 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
26.03.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 5-1 HT 2-1 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
03.10.2023 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 0-4 HT 0-2 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense U23
2-2
AWAY Portimonense U23
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Farense U23 vs Portimonense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense U23 and Portimonense U23 shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Farense U23 had 56% of the ball to Portimonense U23's 44%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Farense U23 had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Farense U23 and 0.33 for Portimonense U23.

What was the final score of Farense U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Farense U23 2-2 Portimonense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Farense U23 36%, draw 30%, Portimonense U23 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Farense U23), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Farense U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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UŞGB More Portugal - U23 National Championship
30 Oct 2024
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