Al Nassr 5-2 Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
81%
1.16
Draw
12%
7.78
Away
7%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
4.0
Over 2.5
72%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
10.55
2-3 Goals
33%
2.62
4-5 Goals
35%
2.2
6+ Goals
17%
2.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
2%
1/X
2%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
5%
2/1
12%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
81%
Home Win
82%
-1.2pp
12%
Draw
10%
+1.0pp
7%
Away Win
7%
+0.2pp
28%
Under 2.5
22%
+6.8pp
72%
Over 2.5
78%
-6.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Najma EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.40/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/2.14
+11% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +15%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
464 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 80%
35.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
22.7 Crosses 8.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nassr
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Najma
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.99 xG 0.22
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 2
413 Passes 286
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
35 Box Touches 6
16 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2026 Najma 0-5 HT 0-3 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
5-2
AWAY Najma
4.35 xG 0.90
64% Ball Possession 36%
24 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
425 Passes 198
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
46 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Nassr vs Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr swept aside Najma 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 81%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (72%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Nassr had 64% of the ball to Najma's 36%, shots finished 24-6, expected goals 4.35 to 0.90.

What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Najma?

Al Nassr 5-2 Najma in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 81%, draw 12%, Najma 7%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5
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