Hamburg vs St. Pauli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hamburg v St. Pauli — Team-Based Signals
Hamburg vs St. Pauli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-0
Hamburg
AL2
4-3
HT 1-1
St. Pauli
AL2
3-0
HT 0-0
Hamburg
AL2
2-1
HT 0-1
St. Pauli
AL2
3-2
HT 1-1
Hamburg
AL2
1-0
HT 0-0
Hamburg
AL2
Hamburg 1-0 St. Pauli — Actual Match Statistics
Hamburg squeezed past St. Pauli 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Hamburg made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Hamburg had 46% of the ball to St. Pauli's 54%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.67 to 1.54.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pauli led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hamburg and 2.17 for St. Pauli.
What was the final score of Hamburg vs St. Pauli?
Hamburg 1-0 St. Pauli in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hamburg vs St. Pauli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hamburg 38%, draw 27%, St. Pauli 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamburg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.