Altona Magic 0-2 Hume City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
48%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-3.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
48%
Away Win
43%
+4.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.5pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altona Magic EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Hume City EU Bookmakers 48%
-8% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.52/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.68
-16% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +53%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.6 Crosses 12.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altona Magic
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Hume City
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
398 Passes 244
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.05.2023 Hume City Hume City 1-0 HT 0-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
18.02.2023 Altona Magic Altona Magic 1-1 HT 0-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
21.05.2022 Hume City Hume City 3-0 HT 2-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
19.02.2022 Altona Magic Altona Magic 0-0 HT 0-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
27.02.2021 Hume City Hume City 0-0 HT 0-0 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
POST-MATCH Altona Magic vs Hume City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hume City beat Altona Magic 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hume City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hume City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Altona Magic and 1.00 for Hume City.

What was the final score of Altona Magic vs Hume City?

Altona Magic 0-2 Hume City in the Australia - National Premier League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altona Magic vs Hume City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hume City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Altona Magic 29%, draw 23%, Hume City 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hume City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hume City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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