Dandenong Thunder 0-3 Melbourne Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 3 May 2024

Dandenong Thunder
0-3 HT 0-2
Melbourne Knights
📅03/05/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Dandenong Thunder vs Melbourne Knights Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
42%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+4.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.0pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dandenong Thunder v Melbourne Knights — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Knights EU Bookmakers 42%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.59/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/1.29
+1% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
247 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.9 Crosses 15.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Dandenong Thunder vs Melbourne Knights Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dandenong Thunder
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Melbourne Knights
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.67 xG 0.46
50% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
342 Passes 258
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
13.08.2023 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 2-1 HT 1-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
06.05.2023 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 0-1 HT 0-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
22.07.2022 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 1-2 HT 0-1 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
23.04.2022 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 3-1 HT 1-1 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
05.03.2021 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 2-1 HT 1-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
20.03.2015 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 1-0 HT 0-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
POST-MATCH Dandenong Thunder vs Melbourne Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Knights cruised past Dandenong Thunder 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Melbourne Knights as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne Knights led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dandenong Thunder and 1.33 for Melbourne Knights.

What was the final score of Dandenong Thunder vs Melbourne Knights?

Dandenong Thunder 0-3 Melbourne Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dandenong Thunder vs Melbourne Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dandenong Thunder 33%, draw 25%, Melbourne Knights 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Knights), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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