Al Wahda 1-0 Al Ain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League Cup, 3 May 2024

Al Wahda
1-0 HT 1-0
Al Ain
📅03/05/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
UAE - League Cup – 2023/2024

Al Wahda vs Al Ain Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Wahda v Al Ain — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wahda EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ain EU Bookmakers 46%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.77/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.01
+59% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
15.5 Crosses 18.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Al Wahda vs Al Ain Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wahda
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Ain
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.16 xG 1.20
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
293 Passes 373
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.02.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAECK
16.12.2023 Al Ain Al Ain 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
10.03.2023 Al Wahda Al Wahda 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
16.12.2022 Al Wahda Al Wahda 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ain Al Ain BAELK
12.12.2022 Al Ain Al Ain 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAELK
15.10.2022 Al Ain Al Ain 2-3 HT 1-2 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE

Al Wahda 1-0 Al Ain — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wahda
1-0
AWAY Al Ain
0.45 xG 1.02
29% Ball Possession 71%
4 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 14
145 Passes 484
60% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 41
6 Crosses 44
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Wahda vs Al Ain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wahda nicked a narrow win over Al Ain 1-0.

Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 40%) promised a tight game; Al Wahda found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Wahda had 29% of the ball to Al Ain's 71%, shots finished 4-21, expected goals 0.45 to 1.02 — on chances, Al Ain could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Wahda and 1.17 for Al Ain.

What was the final score of Al Wahda vs Al Ain?

Al Wahda 1-0 Al Ain in the UAE - League Cup on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wahda vs Al Ain?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ain win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Wahda 30%, draw 30%, Al Ain 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Ain) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ain) ✓ Under 2.5
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