Khalidiya 1-1 Al Riffa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 3 May 2024

Khalidiya
1-1 HT 0-1
Al Riffa
📅03/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Bahrain - Premier League – 2023/2024

Khalidiya vs Al Riffa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 28% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Khalidiya v Al Riffa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 38%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.83/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.81
-42% / +141% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +44%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
326 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Khalidiya vs Al Riffa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khalidiya
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Al Riffa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-0 HT 0-0 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
16.04.2023 Khalidiya Khalidiya 3-2 HT 1-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
28.01.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 3-1 HT 3-0 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
15.09.2022 Khalidiya Khalidiya 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAHSK
14.02.2022 Khalidiya Khalidiya 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
17.10.2021 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-0 HT 0-0 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH

Khalidiya 1-1 Al Riffa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khalidiya
1-1
AWAY Al Riffa
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Khalidiya vs Al Riffa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khalidiya and Al Riffa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Khalidiya had 36% of the ball to Al Riffa's 64%, shots finished 5-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Riffa led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Khalidiya and 1.33 for Al Riffa.

What was the final score of Khalidiya vs Al Riffa?

Khalidiya 1-1 Al Riffa in the Bahrain - Premier League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khalidiya vs Al Riffa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Khalidiya win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Khalidiya 40%, draw 29%, Al Riffa 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Khalidiya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Khalidiya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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