Sitra 2-2 Al Shabab Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 3 May 2024

Sitra
2-2 HT 1-0
Al Shabab Manama
📅03/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Bahrain - Premier League – 2023/2024

Sitra vs Al Shabab Manama Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.29
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 28% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sitra v Al Shabab Manama — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sitra EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 34%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.12/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.97
-20% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.3

Sitra vs Al Shabab Manama Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sitra
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Shabab Manama
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 1-2 HT 0-2 Sitra Sitra BAH
09.05.2023 Sitra Sitra 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
21.12.2022 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 0-2 HT 0-0 Sitra Sitra BAH

Sitra 2-2 Al Shabab Manama — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sitra
2-2
AWAY Al Shabab Manama
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sitra vs Al Shabab Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sitra and Al Shabab Manama couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sitra had 43% of the ball to Al Shabab Manama's 57%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sitra had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sitra and 0.67 for Al Shabab Manama.

What was the final score of Sitra vs Al Shabab Manama?

Sitra 2-2 Al Shabab Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sitra vs Al Shabab Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sitra win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sitra 39%, draw 26%, Al Shabab Manama 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sitra), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sitra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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