BATE Borisov 1-1 Isloch Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.17
6+ Goals
11%
20.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.6pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BATE Borisov EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Isloch Minsk EU Bookmakers 42%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +15%
1.29/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.13
-1% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BATE Borisov
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Isloch Minsk
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.05.2023 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 1-1 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
20.10.2022 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 0-0 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
18.06.2022 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 0-1 HT 0-1 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
28.08.2021 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 2-2 HT 0-2 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
23.05.2021 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 2-1 HT 1-0 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLRK
25.04.2021 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 1-4 HT 1-1 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BATE Borisov
1-1
AWAY Isloch Minsk
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH BATE Borisov vs Isloch Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BATE Borisov and Isloch Minsk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, BATE Borisov had 57% of the ball to Isloch Minsk's 43%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, BATE Borisov had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for BATE Borisov and 1.00 for Isloch Minsk.

What was the final score of BATE Borisov vs Isloch Minsk?

BATE Borisov 1-1 Isloch Minsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BATE Borisov vs Isloch Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a BATE Borisov win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split BATE Borisov 39%, draw 26%, Isloch Minsk 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BATE Borisov) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BATE Borisov) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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3 May 2024
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