FC Minsk 1-2 Torpedo Zhodino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
6.35
Draw
32%
3.8
Away
49%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.75
No
64%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.26
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
15%
5.44
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.26 — our 41% vs market 37.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
13%
+6.6pp
32%
Draw
23%
+8.9pp
49%
Away Win
64%
-15.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.3pp
36%
BTTS Yes
32%
+3.6pp
64%
BTTS No
68%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Minsk EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino EU Bookmakers 69%
+20% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
0.88/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.74
+17% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +6%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 463 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Minsk
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
01.07.2023 FC Minsk FC Minsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
19.08.2022 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
09.04.2022 FC Minsk FC Minsk 1-0 HT 1-0 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
11.09.2021 FC Minsk FC Minsk 0-2 HT 0-0 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
01.05.2021 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Minsk
1-2
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Zhodino edged past FC Minsk 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Torpedo Zhodino as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Minsk had 42% of the ball to Torpedo Zhodino's 58%, shots finished 4-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Zhodino led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Minsk and 1.00 for Torpedo Zhodino.

What was the final score of FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?

FC Minsk 1-2 Torpedo Zhodino in the Belarus - Premier League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Zhodino win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Minsk 19%, draw 32%, Torpedo Zhodino 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Zhodino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Zhodino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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3 May 2024
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