Velez Mostar 2-0 Posusje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.37
Draw
31%
4.08
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.64
Over 2.5
34%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.6
No
66%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
68%
-17.1pp
31%
Draw
21%
+9.9pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
57%
+8.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
43%
-8.6pp
34%
BTTS Yes
34%
-0.5pp
66%
BTTS No
66%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Posusje EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.85/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/2.02
-13% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -2%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Mostar
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Posusje
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Posusje Posusje 1-0 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
06.10.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 2-1 HT 0-0 Posusje Posusje BOSN
18.02.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 2-0 HT 1-0 Posusje Posusje BOSK
30.09.2022 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-1 HT 1-1 Posusje Posusje BOSN
15.07.2022 Posusje Posusje 1-1 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
25.04.2022 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 5-2 HT 3-1 Posusje Posusje BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Velez Mostar
2-0
AWAY Posusje
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Velez Mostar vs Posusje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Mostar got the better of Posusje 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Velez Mostar as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

On the day, Velez Mostar had 46% of the ball to Posusje's 54%, shots finished 7-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Velez Mostar had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Velez Mostar and 1.00 for Posusje.

What was the final score of Velez Mostar vs Posusje?

Velez Mostar 2-0 Posusje in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Mostar vs Posusje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Velez Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Velez Mostar 51%, draw 31%, Posusje 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Velez Mostar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Velez Mostar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
3 May 2024
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