Naestved 1-0 B93 Kopenhag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
2.0
Over 2.5
38%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.73
No
58%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.76
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
16%
3.24
6+ Goals
7%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 33% vs market 21.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.28
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.65
X/1
14%
4.07
X/2
4%
8.7
X/X
18%
5.41
2/1
4%
22.3
2/2
13%
6.46
2/X
4%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.1pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.5pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-2.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
46%
+16.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
54%
-16.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
54%
-12.2pp
58%
BTTS No
46%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naestved EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY B93 Kopenhag EU Bookmakers 26%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.66/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.33
+32% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +119% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
18.8 Crosses 10.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naestved
0W-1D-2L
AWAY B93 Kopenhag
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.23 xG 1.02
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
340 Passes 394
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.04.2024 B93 Kopenhag B93 Kopenhag 2-0 HT 1-0 Naestved Naestved DAN1
24.02.2024 B93 Kopenhag B93 Kopenhag 0-0 HT 0-0 Naestved Naestved DAN1
22.08.2023 Naestved Naestved 0-1 HT 0-1 B93 Kopenhag B93 Kopenhag DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naestved
1-0
AWAY B93 Kopenhag
0.77 xG 0.49
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 Passes 387
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Naestved vs B93 Kopenhag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naestved squeezed past B93 Kopenhag 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Naestved as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Naestved had 46% of the ball to B93 Kopenhag's 54%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 0.77 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, B93 Kopenhag led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Naestved and 1.00 for B93 Kopenhag.

What was the final score of Naestved vs B93 Kopenhag?

Naestved 1-0 B93 Kopenhag in the Denmark 1st Division on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naestved vs B93 Kopenhag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naestved win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Naestved 49%, draw 30%, B93 Kopenhag 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naestved), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Naestved) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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