Ethiopia Bunna 2-2 Ethiopia Nigd Bank — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.5pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-25% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
250 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 3
16.12.2023 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-1 HT 2-1 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
2-2
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Bunna vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Bunna and Ethiopia Nigd Bank shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ethiopia Bunna had 62% of the ball to Ethiopia Nigd Bank's 38%, shots finished 11-5.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Bunna vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

Ethiopia Bunna 2-2 Ethiopia Nigd Bank in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Bunna vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopia Bunna win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Bunna 36%, draw 31%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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