Ethiopian Insurance 2-0 Hambericho Durame — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.8pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.6pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Hambericho Durame EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
356 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopian Insurance
2-0
AWAY Hambericho Durame
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ethiopian Insurance vs Hambericho Durame
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopian Insurance saw off Hambericho Durame 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ethiopian Insurance as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ethiopian Insurance had 67% of the ball to Hambericho Durame's 33%, shots finished 13-3.

What was the final score of Ethiopian Insurance vs Hambericho Durame?

Ethiopian Insurance 2-0 Hambericho Durame in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopian Insurance vs Hambericho Durame?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ethiopian Insurance 54%, draw 22%, Hambericho Durame 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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