KTP Kotka 2-0 JaPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.34
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.89
Over 2.5
57%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.63
2-3 Goals
40%
2.14
4-5 Goals
27%
2.5
6+ Goals
12%
5.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
70%
-13.5pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.9pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
31%
+12.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
69%
-12.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY JaPS EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
2.72/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.73
+9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / +38%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
418 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KTP Kotka
2W-1D-1L
AWAY JaPS
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 JaPS JaPS 1-1 HT 0-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FINYK
09.09.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 6-0 HT 2-0 JaPS JaPS FINY
22.07.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 3-1 HT 2-0 JaPS JaPS FİN2
20.05.2022 JaPS JaPS 2-1 HT 1-1 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KTP Kotka
2-0
AWAY JaPS
56% Ball Possession 44%
28 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH KTP Kotka vs JaPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KTP Kotka got the better of JaPS 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had KTP Kotka as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KTP Kotka had 56% of the ball to JaPS's 44%, shots finished 28-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for KTP Kotka and 1.00 for JaPS.

What was the final score of KTP Kotka vs JaPS?

KTP Kotka 2-0 JaPS in the Finland - Ykkönen on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KTP Kotka vs JaPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split KTP Kotka 56%, draw 24%, JaPS 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KTP Kotka) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KTP Kotka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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