JaPS 1-1 KTP Kotka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykköscup, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
33%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
27%
3.13
6+ Goals
7%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
15%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.6pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.7pp
33%
Away Win
43%
-10.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.0pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JaPS EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 455 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JaPS
1W-0D-2L
AWAY KTP Kotka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 6-0 HT 2-0 JaPS JaPS FINY
22.07.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 3-1 HT 2-0 JaPS JaPS FİN2
20.05.2022 JaPS JaPS 2-1 HT 1-1 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
POST-MATCH JaPS vs KTP Kotka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JaPS and KTP Kotka couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 33% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for JaPS and 3.33 for KTP Kotka.

What was the final score of JaPS vs KTP Kotka?

JaPS 1-1 KTP Kotka in the Finland - Ykköscup on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JaPS vs KTP Kotka?

Before kick-off our model rated a JaPS win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split JaPS 34%, draw 33%, KTP Kotka 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (JaPS), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JaPS) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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